MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:03:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 5
Sep 27, 2024 at 4.20pm UK
King Saud University Stadium

Al-Nassr
2 - 0
Al Wahda

Gabriel (41'), Ronaldo (56' pen.)
Otavio (45+4'), Bento (74'), Al Hassan (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bakshween (23')
Bakshween (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Wahda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Ettifaq 0-3 Al-Nassr
Friday, September 20 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 0-1 Al Kholood
Thursday, September 19 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 3-1 Al Wahda

While Al-Nassr have not been in full flight this season, their record in this fixture is difficult to ignore, and given their star-studded lineup, we feel the Knights of Najd will secure a fairly straightforward victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 74.23%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 10.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 3-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 1-2 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Wahda
74.23% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11) 15.28% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02) 10.49% (0.124 0.12)
Both teams to score 54.84% (0.606 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.2% (0.50800000000001 0.51)31.8% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.67% (0.593 0.59)53.33% (-0.595 -0.59)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.72% (0.094999999999999 0.09)7.28% (-0.097 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.65% (0.25099999999999 0.25)26.35% (-0.253 -0.25)
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.15% (0.59200000000001 0.59)40.85% (-0.593 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.58% (0.524 0.52)77.42% (-0.527 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 74.23%
    Al Wahda 10.49%
    Draw 15.28%
Al-NassrDrawAl Wahda
2-0 @ 10.2% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.92% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.98% (0.03 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.178 -0.18)
4-0 @ 5.84% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 5.23% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.071 0.07)
5-0 @ 3.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.74% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.34% (0.058 0.06)
6-0 @ 1.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.23% (0.036 0.04)
6-1 @ 1.2% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 74.23%
1-1 @ 6.98% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.97% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 15.28%
1-2 @ 3.12% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.66% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.93% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 10.49%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Wahda

Al-Nassr
92.2%
Draw
3.9%
Al Wahda
3.9%
51
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 30
Al-Nassr
6-0
Al Wahda
Ronaldo (5', 12', 52'), Otavio (18'), Mane (45'), Abdulhakim Al Fatil (88')

De Moraes (38'), Fajr (87')
Nov 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 13
Al Wahda
1-3
Al-Nassr
De Moraes (81')
Bakshween (60')
Telles (11'), Al Amri (39'), Ronaldo (49')
Oct 16, 2021 4pm
Quarter-Finals
Al Wahda
1-5
Al-Nassr
Matar (90+3')
Pedro (45+3')
Hamdallah (7'), Masharipov (52', 65'), Asiri (56'), Al Naji (75')
Qassem (32'), Talisca (44'), Al Naji (86'), Alkhaibari (90+1')
Aug 12, 2019 4.40pm
Round of 16
Al Wahda
2-3
Al-Nassr
Al Menhali (27'), Tagliabue (79')
Matar (40'), Leonardo (83')
Hamdallah (41'), Giuliano (45', 62')
Al Khaibari (47'), Jones (56'), Al Mansour (69'), Al Ghuwainem (74'), Hawsawi (83'), Al Obaid (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal109102781928
2Al Ittihad109012481627
3Al-Nassr106402181322
4Al ShababAl Shabab10703146821
5Al Quadisiya10613137619
6Al Khaleej105141212016
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun10433119215
8Al-AhliAl-Ahli10424149514
9Al Riyadh104241315-214
10Damac103251618-211
11Al RaedAl Raed103251315-211
12Al Ettifaq10325915-611
13Al Orubah10316921-1210
14Al Okhdood102261114-38
15Al Kholood101451219-77
16Al Fayha10145719-127
17Al WahdaAl Wahda101361427-136
18Al Fateh10127818-105


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