Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Amora had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Amora win was 1-0 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.