Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Casa Pia |
49.85% (![]() | 25.01% (![]() | 25.14% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.95% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.38% (![]() | 50.62% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.47% (![]() | 72.53% (![]() |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.68% (![]() | 20.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.3% (![]() | 52.69% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.19% (![]() | 34.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.46% (![]() | 71.54% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 11.27% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.48% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.98% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.04% 3-0 @ 4.77% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.85% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 7.07% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.46% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.28% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 2.11% Total : 25.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 12 |
2 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
7 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |