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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Casa Pia

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Casa Pia

Braganca (39'), Gyokeres (80' pen.)
Braganca (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zolotic (36'), Kluivert (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Casa Pia

Despite some injury concerns for Sporting, they are expected to continue their impressive form and secure another league victory against Casa Pia. Amorim's team have not dropped points in the Liga since late April, and their home advantage makes them strong favourites to claim an 11th consecutive triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 88.28%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 3.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 4-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.7%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (1.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawCasa Pia
88.28% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15) 8.04% (0.143 0.14) 3.68% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.44% (-0.923 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.76% (-0.917 -0.92)22.24% (0.917 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.77% (-1.265 -1.27)41.23% (1.265 1.27)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.85% (-0.154 -0.15)3.15% (0.1539 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.95% (-0.539 -0.54)14.05% (0.539 0.54)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.95% (-0.875 -0.88)52.05% (0.874 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.96% (-0.579 -0.58)86.04% (0.57900000000001 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 88.27%
    Casa Pia 3.68%
    Draw 8.04%
Sporting LisbonDrawCasa Pia
3-0 @ 11.29% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 9.8% (0.369 0.37)
4-0 @ 9.76% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 7.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 6.75% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.4% (0.081 0.08)
4-1 @ 6.38% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-0 @ 5.67% (0.292 0.29)
5-1 @ 4.41% (-0.137 -0.14)
6-0 @ 3.89% (-0.076 -0.08)
6-1 @ 2.54% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.08% (-0.089 -0.09)
7-0 @ 1.92% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-2 @ 1.44% (-0.084 -0.08)
7-1 @ 1.26% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 4.89%
Total : 88.27%
1-1 @ 3.7% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 2.09% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 1.64% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 8.04%
1-2 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
0-1 @ 1.07% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 3.68%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Casa Pia

Sporting Lisbon
93.3%
Draw
1.7%
Casa Pia
5.0%
60
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2024 8.45pm
Gameweek 19
Sporting Lisbon
8-0
Casa Pia
Coates (14', 81'), Gyokeres (23', 32' pen.), Goncalves (25'), Trincao (43', 90+4'), Catamo (64')
Hjulmand (38')

Nunes (13')
Aug 18, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 2
Casa Pia
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Clayton (58')
Mukendi (45+12'), Varela (55'), Neto (90'), Geraldes (90+8')
Paulinho (3', 61')
Inacio (72')
Apr 9, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 27
Casa Pia
3-4
Sporting Lisbon
Martins (7'), Soma (45+1'), Cardoso (62')
Trincao (1', 39', 85'), Goncalves (48')
Oct 22, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
3-1
Casa Pia
Paulinho (57'), Santos (59'), Goncalves (65' pen.)
Clayton (43')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Benfica1411213482635
3Porto1411123392434
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8Casa Pia155551618-220
9FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS142661122-1112
14Nacional14338819-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca153210926-1711
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


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