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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Casa Pia

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Casa Pia

Braganca (39'), Gyokeres (80' pen.)
Braganca (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zolotic (36'), Kluivert (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: PSV 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Casa Pia

 Despite some injury concerns for Sporting, they are expected to continue their impressive form and secure another league victory against Casa Pia. Amorim's team have not dropped points in the Liga since late April, and their home advantage makes them strong favourites to claim an 11th consecutive triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 88.28%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 3.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 4-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.7%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (1.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawCasa Pia
88.28% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15) 8.04% (0.143 0.14) 3.68% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.44% (-0.923 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.76% (-0.917 -0.92)22.24% (0.917 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.77% (-1.265 -1.27)41.23% (1.265 1.27)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.85% (-0.154 -0.15)3.15% (0.1539 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.95% (-0.539 -0.54)14.05% (0.539 0.54)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.95% (-0.875 -0.88)52.05% (0.874 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.96% (-0.579 -0.58)86.04% (0.57900000000001 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 88.27%
    Casa Pia 3.68%
    Draw 8.04%
Sporting LisbonDrawCasa Pia
3-0 @ 11.29% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 9.8% (0.369 0.37)
4-0 @ 9.76% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 7.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 6.75% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.4% (0.081 0.08)
4-1 @ 6.38% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-0 @ 5.67% (0.292 0.29)
5-1 @ 4.41% (-0.137 -0.14)
6-0 @ 3.89% (-0.076 -0.08)
6-1 @ 2.54% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.08% (-0.089 -0.09)
7-0 @ 1.92% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-2 @ 1.44% (-0.084 -0.08)
7-1 @ 1.26% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 4.89%
Total : 88.27%
1-1 @ 3.7% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 2.09% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 1.64% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 8.04%
1-2 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
0-1 @ 1.07% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 3.68%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Casa Pia

Sporting Lisbon
93.3%
Draw
1.7%
Casa Pia
5.0%
60
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2024 8.45pm
Gameweek 19
Sporting Lisbon
8-0
Casa Pia
Coates (14', 81'), Gyokeres (23', 32' pen.), Goncalves (25'), Trincao (43', 90+4'), Catamo (64')
Hjulmand (38')

Nunes (13')
> Preview
Aug 18, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 2
Casa Pia
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Clayton (58')
Mukendi (45+12'), Varela (55'), Neto (90'), Geraldes (90+8')
Paulinho (3', 61')
Inacio (72')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 27
Casa Pia
3-4
Sporting Lisbon
Martins (7'), Soma (45+1'), Cardoso (62')
Trincao (1', 39', 85'), Goncalves (48')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
3-1
Casa Pia
Paulinho (57'), Santos (59'), Goncalves (65' pen.)
Clayton (43')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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