Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 88.28%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 3.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 4-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.7%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (1.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Casa Pia |
88.28% ( -0.15) | 8.04% ( 0.14) | 3.68% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 46.44% ( -0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.76% ( -0.92) | 22.24% ( 0.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
58.77% ( -1.27) | 41.23% ( 1.27) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.85% ( -0.15) | 3.15% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
85.95% ( -0.54) | 14.05% ( 0.54) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.95% ( -0.88) | 52.05% ( 0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.96% ( -0.58) | 86.04% ( 0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Casa Pia |
3-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.37) 4-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.29) 5-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.14) 6-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.08) 6-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.09) 7-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.07) 5-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.08) 7-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.08) Other @ 4.89% Total : 88.27% | 1-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.61% Total : 8.04% | 1-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.4% Total : 3.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
3 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
14 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
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