Argentina2 - 0Canada
![Argentina's Lionel Messi before the game on June 20, 2024 [IMAGO]](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1 "Argentina's Lionel Messi before the game on June 20, 2024 [IMAGO]")
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, June 15 at 1am in International Friendlies
We said: Argentina 2-0 Canada
With Canada boasting talented players like Davies and David, they have enough quality in their squad to cause the defending champions a few problems, but we believe Argentina's array of world-class talent will ultimately shine through to claim a routine victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Canada had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Argentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentina.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Canada |
62.02% ( -0.73) | 20.99% ( 0.25) | 16.98% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 52.69% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.33% ( -0.29) | 43.67% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.94% ( -0.29) | 66.06% ( 0.29) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.47% ( -0.31) | 13.53% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.41% ( -0.62) | 40.58% ( 0.62) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.93% ( 0.4) | 39.07% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.21% ( 0.37) | 75.78% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentina | Draw | Canada |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.01% Total : 62.02% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.99% | 0-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.09% Total : 16.98% |
