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World Cup
Brazil national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 22, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Argentina national football team

Brazil
0 - 1
Argentina


Jesus (5'), Raphinha (14'), Augusto (33')
Joelinton (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Otamendi (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's 2026 World Cup qualification match between Brazil and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Brazil could line up in Tuesday's 2026 World Cup qualifier with Argentina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Brazil
Friday, November 17 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Argentina

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Argentina 0-2 Uruguay
Friday, November 17 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Brazil 1-1 Argentina

 Both sides will be determined to bounce back from defeats last time out, but it could be a cagey match in terms of the general play, as both managers will be wary of losing it. It would not be a surprise to see Brazil win this despite their disappointing form, but we just have a feeling that the spoils will be shared on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 47.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Argentina had a probability of 26.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for an Argentina win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
BrazilDrawArgentina
47.77% (-1.553 -1.55) 26.22% (0.604 0.6) 26.02% (0.954 0.95)
Both teams to score 49.12% (-0.932 -0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.29% (-1.629 -1.63)54.71% (1.634 1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.97% (-1.366 -1.37)76.03% (1.371 1.37)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (-1.371 -1.37)22.91% (1.375 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (-2.064 -2.06)56.68% (2.069 2.07)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.72% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)36.28% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)73.07% (0.076000000000008 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Brazil 47.76%
    Argentina 26.02%
    Draw 26.21%
BrazilDrawArgentina
1-0 @ 12.24% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-0 @ 9.02% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.285 -0.29)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.272 -0.27)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.179 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.76%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 8.31% (0.515 0.52)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.43% (0.506 0.51)
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.117 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.249 0.25)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 26.02%

How you voted: Brazil vs Argentina

Brazil
31.9%
Draw
20.1%
Argentina
47.9%
144
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2022 1am
Group Stage
Brazil
P-P
Argentina
> Preview
Jun 11, 2022 12pm
International Friendly
Brazil
P-P
Argentina
Nov 16, 2021 11.30pm
Group Stage
Argentina
0-0
Brazil
Paredes (45+1'), Romero (50'), Pezzella (59'), Acuna (75')
Paqueta (45'), Fabinho (73'), Antony (76')
> Preview
Jul 11, 2021 1am
Final
Argentina
1-0
Brazil
Di Maria (22')
Paredes (33'), Lo Celso (51'), De Paul (68'), Otamendi (81'), Montiel (89')

Fred (3'), Lodi (70'), Paqueta (72'), Marquinhos (82')
> Match Report
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International Friendlies
Brazil
0-1
Argentina
> Match Report
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