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Paris 2024
Australia national football team
Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 28, 2024 at 6pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Zambia national football team

Australia Women
6 - 5
Zambia Women

Kennedy (7'), Raso (35'), Musole (58' og.), Catley (65', 77' pen.), Heyman (90')
Kennedy (87')
FT(HT: 2-4)
Banda (1', 33', 45+1'), Kundanaji (21', 56')
Muchinga (77')
Coverage of the Olympic Games Women's Football Group Stage clash between Australia Women and Zambia Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia Women

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: Germany Women 3-0 Australia Women
Thursday, July 25 at 6pm in Olympic Games Women's Football

Zambia Women

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: USA Women 3-0 Zambia Women
Thursday, July 25 at 8pm in Olympic Games Women's Football

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia Women win with a probability of 76.6%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Zambia Women had a probability of 8.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.27%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Zambia Women win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 6-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Australia Women would win this match.

Result
Australia WomenDrawZambia Women
76.6% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 14.79% (0.004999999999999 0) 8.61% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.42% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.15% (0.034999999999997 0.03)35.85% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.07% (0.039000000000001 0.04)57.93% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Australia Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.27% (0.0040000000000049 0)7.72% (-0.0040999999999993 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)27.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Zambia Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.48% (0.062000000000005 0.06)47.52% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.12% (0.044999999999998 0.04)82.88% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Australia Women 76.59%
    Zambia Women 8.61%
    Draw 14.79%
Australia WomenDrawZambia Women
2-0 @ 12.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 10.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.4% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 6.58% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.89% (0.0040000000000004 0)
5-0 @ 3.37% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.82% (0.004 0)
6-0 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 76.59%
1-1 @ 6.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.67% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 14.79%
0-1 @ 2.73%
1-2 @ 2.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 8.61%

How you voted: Australia Women vs Zambia Women

Australia Women
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Zambia Women
0.0%
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