Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage

Jul 27, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Saitama Stadium 2002

Brazil Women
1 - 0
Zambia Women

Alves (19')
Alonso Costantino (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Phiri (45+8')
Mweemba (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Olympic Games Women's Football clash between Brazil Women and Zambia Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil Women win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Zambia Women had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Zambia Women win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brazil Women in this match.

Result
Brazil Women	Draw	Zambia Women
48.15%	25.57%	26.29%

Both teams to score 51.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.99%

52.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.26%

73.74%

Brazil Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.39%

21.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.28%

54.72%

Zambia Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.41%

34.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.69%

71.31%

Score Analysis

Brazil Women 48.15%

Zambia Women 26.29%

Draw 25.56%

Brazil Women	Draw	Zambia Women
1-0 @ 11.45% 2-1 @ 9.31% 2-0 @ 8.77% 3-1 @ 4.76% 3-0 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.35% Total : 48.15%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.48% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.56%	0-1 @ 7.94% 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.16% Total : 26.29%