Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 46%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Queen's Park |
46% ( -0.1) | 24.48% ( 0.03) | 29.52% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 57.15% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.6% ( -0.1) | 45.4% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.27% ( -0.1) | 67.73% ( 0.1) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.16% ( -0.08) | 19.84% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.07% ( -0.14) | 51.93% ( 0.14) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.3% ( -0) | 28.7% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.47% ( -0) | 64.53% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Queen's Park |
2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 46% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
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