Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.
Result | ||
Queen's Park | Draw | Ayr United |
43.37% ( 0.07) | 25.61% ( -0.06) | 31.01% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.16% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.34% ( 0.23) | 49.66% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.32% ( 0.21) | 71.68% ( -0.21) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.19% ( 0.13) | 22.81% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.48% ( 0.2) | 56.52% ( -0.2) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.17% ( 0.1) | 29.83% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.08% ( 0.13) | 65.92% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Queen's Park | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 43.37% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 31.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |