Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
39.79% ( -1.81) | 25.1% ( 0.18) | 35.1% ( 1.62) |
Both teams to score 57.19% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.69% ( -0.5) | 46.31% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.4% ( -0.48) | 68.6% ( 0.47) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.9% ( -1.11) | 23.1% ( 1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.05% ( -1.65) | 56.95% ( 1.64) |
Partick Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.37% ( 0.72) | 25.63% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.47% ( 0.97) | 60.52% ( -0.97) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.79% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |