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Europa League
AZ Alkmaar
Europa League | League Stage
Nov 28, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Galatasaray

AZ
1 - 1
Galatasaray

Mijnans (2')
van Bommel (6'), Parrott (73'), Smit (88')
Smit (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Osimhen (43')
Mertens (84'), Osimhen (88'), Sanchez (89'), Akgun (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between AZ Alkmaar and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Sparta 1-2 AZ
Sunday, November 24 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Galatasaray

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Bodrumspor 0-1 Galatasaray
Saturday, November 23 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-2 Galatasaray

 AZ have been formidable at home in the Europa League this season, and we believe that Thursday will be no exception for the Dutch side. However, with Galatasaray's quality and form, we expect them to leave the Netherlands with something, which is why we are predicting a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawGalatasaray
43.09% (0.15000000000001 0.15) 23.81% (0.011999999999997 0.01) 33.1% (-0.163 -0.16)
Both teams to score 61.29% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.27% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)40.73% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.88% (-0.11 -0.11)63.11% (0.11 0.11)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81% (0.019999999999996 0.02)19.19% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.13% (0.034000000000006 0.03)50.86% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (-0.145 -0.14)24.15% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (-0.208 -0.21)58.46% (0.208 0.21)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 43.09%
    Galatasaray 33.1%
    Draw 23.8%
AZ AlkmaarDrawGalatasaray
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.043 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.31% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.94% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.48% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 43.09%
1-1 @ 10.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.63% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.8%
1-2 @ 7.72% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 33.1%

How you voted: AZ vs Galatasaray

AZ Alkmaar
17.4%
Draw
14.1%
Galatasaray
68.5%
241
rhs 2.0
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