Galatasaray

4 - 3

Elfsborg

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 55.23%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 23.27% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.