Belarus

1 - 1

Luxembourg

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 42.11%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 27.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.