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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Belarus national football team
Nations League | League C
Oct 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
ZTE-Arena
Luxembourg national football team

Belarus
1 - 1
Luxembourg

Palitsevich (54')
Alos (24'), Barkovskiy (63'), Bocherov (90+5'), Bocherov (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodrigues (78' pen.)
Sinani (23'), D'Anzico (30'), Korac (53'), Rodrigues (64'), Olesen (75'), Schon (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Belarus and Luxembourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belarus

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Belarus 0-0 N. Ireland
Saturday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Luxembourg

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Bulgaria 0-0 Luxembourg
Saturday, October 12 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Belarus 1-1 Luxembourg

 A low-scoring encounter is surely in store, as the two teams have managed just one goal between them at the midpoint of their Group 3 campaigns. Luxembourg are lacking confidence in the final third, while Belarus can be tough to break down, so the points will be shared at a near-empty ZTE Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 42.11%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 27.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BelarusDrawLuxembourg
42.11% (-1.501 -1.5) 30.21% (-0.154 -0.15) 27.67% (1.652 1.65)
Both teams to score 39.83% (1.239 1.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33% (1.036 1.04)66.99% (-1.039 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.74% (0.691 0.69)85.26% (-0.69399999999999 -0.69)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38% (-0.32199999999999 -0.32)31.62% (0.319 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97% (-0.371 -0.37)68.02% (0.367 0.37)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.24% (2.074 2.07)41.75% (-2.078 -2.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.78% (1.76 1.76)78.22% (-1.763 -1.76)
Score Analysis
    Belarus 42.11%
    Luxembourg 27.67%
    Draw 30.21%
BelarusDrawLuxembourg
1-0 @ 15.2% (-0.73 -0.73)
2-0 @ 8.75% (-0.504 -0.5)
2-1 @ 7.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.28% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 42.11%
1-1 @ 13.27% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 13.2% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-2 @ 3.34% (0.189 0.19)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 30.21%
0-1 @ 11.53% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 5.8% (0.377 0.38)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.368 0.37)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.197 0.2)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.183 0.18)
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 27.67%

How you voted: Belarus vs Luxembourg

Belarus
49.2%
Draw
38.7%
Luxembourg
12.1%
124
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2024 2pm
League C
Luxembourg
0-1
Belarus

Bohnert (45'), Chanot (86'), Martins Pereira (89')
Gromyko (76')
Ebong (53'), Martynovich (71'), Kavalyow (84')
> Preview
Nov 15, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Luxembourg
0-2
Belarus

Thill (49'), Janisch (53'), Martins (81'), Philipps (82')
Dragun (37', 54')
Saroka (71'), Dragun (83')
Oct 12, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Belarus
1-0
Luxembourg
Saroka (43')
Volodko (66'), Maevski (72')

Turpel (68'), Jans (72'), Sinani (81')
Aug 31, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Luxembourg
1-0
Belarus
Da Mota (60')
Oct 10, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Belarus
1-1
Luxembourg
Savitskiy (80')
Joachim (85')
rhs 2.0
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