Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Big Bullets win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Red Arrows had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Big Bullets win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.24%), while for a Red Arrows win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Big Bullets would win this match.