Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Jan 6, 2025 at 8am UK
Campbelltown Stadium
Macarthur1 - 2Adelaide United
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Adelaide United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Western Sydney 2-3 Macarthur
Wednesday, January 1 at 7am in Australian A-League
Wednesday, January 1 at 7am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Adelaide United 2-3 Western Sydney
Friday, December 27 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Friday, December 27 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
22
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.14%) and 2-3 (4.71%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Adelaide United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Adelaide United |
37.15% ( 0.41) | 21.33% ( 0.2) | 41.51% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 71.98% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
