Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Adelaide United win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Macarthur has a probability of 33.8% and a draw has a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (5.61%) and 2-3 (5%). The likeliest Macarthur win is 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.81%).