We said: BK Hacken Women 1-2 Real Madrid Femenino
Although Real Madrid would have been disappointed with Sunday's league defeat to Barcelona, they do boast a decent record in the Champions League, having lost just two of their last 13 matches in the competition (W8, D3).
As a result of their fine European form, we think that Real Madrid will have the quality required to claim a narrow victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BK Hacken Women win with a probability of 50.9%. A win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a BK Hacken Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Real Madrid Femenino win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for BK Hacken Women in this match.