MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:45:55| >> :600:393497:393497:
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Conference League | League Stage
Nov 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
2 - 1
Mlada Boleslav

Silva (40' pen.), Rivas (60')
Varela (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kusej (72')
Vojta (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Mlada Boleslav, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 3-0 Mlada Boleslav

The hosts are undoubtedly the stronger side coming into this game, shown by the huge difference in how the two sides have started the Conference League, and we expect Vitoria to comfortably win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 65.85%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Mlada Boleslav had a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Mlada Boleslav win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawMlada Boleslav
65.85% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 19.96% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 14.19% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.44% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)44.56% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.07% (-0.012 -0.01)66.93% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.31% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)12.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.12% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)38.88%
Mlada Boleslav Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.69% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)43.31% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.45% (-0.02 -0.02)79.55% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 65.84%
    Mlada Boleslav 14.19%
    Draw 19.96%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawMlada Boleslav
2-0 @ 11.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 8.06% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.16% (0.0029999999999992 0)
4-1 @ 3.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 65.84%
1-1 @ 9.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 19.96%
0-1 @ 4.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 3.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 14.19%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Mlada Boleslav

Vitoria de Guimaraes
88.6%
Draw
10.0%
Mlada Boleslav
1.4%
70
rhs 2.0
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