We said: Boavista 1-1 Braga
Boavista have already taken points off the likes of Porto and Vitoria Guimaraes at home this season and have held this opponent to consecutive draws at this venue in their last two encounters.
This will not be an easy trip for Braga following an energy-sapping 120 minutes against Qarabag in midweek, and we feel they may have to settle for a share of the spoils in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Boavista win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.