Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Boavista in this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Estoril Praia |
46.43% ( 0.16) | 24.37% ( 0.01) | 29.2% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 57.3% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.89% ( -0.12) | 45.11% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.54% ( -0.12) | 67.46% ( 0.12) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.46% ( 0.02) | 19.54% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.55% ( 0.03) | 51.45% ( -0.03) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.22% ( -0.17) | 28.78% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.37% ( -0.21) | 64.63% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Estoril Praia |
2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 46.43% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
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