Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.