Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw has a probability of 14.9% and a win for Braga has a probability of 10.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9%) and 3-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Braga win it is 1-2 (3.14%).
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
74.47% ( 0.2) | 14.93% ( 0.12) | 10.61% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 56.92% ( -1.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.47% ( -1.65) | 29.53% ( 1.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.38% ( -2.03) | 50.62% ( 2.03) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.28% ( -0.33) | 6.72% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.14% ( -0.91) | 24.86% ( 0.91) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.02% ( -1.76) | 38.99% ( 1.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.29% ( -1.7) | 75.71% ( 1.7) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
2-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.53) 4-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.21) 5-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.2) 6-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.13) 6-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.09) Other @ 4.29% Total : 74.47% | 1-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.21% Total : 14.93% | 1-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.53% Total : 10.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 58 | 19 | 39 | 52 |
2 | Benfica | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 14 | 32 | 52 |
3 | Porto | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 13 | 20 | 45 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 40 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 40 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 35 |
7 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 26 |
8 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 25 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 24 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 21 |
13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 21 |
15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 21 |
16 | Casa Pia | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 14 |
18 | Vizela | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 13 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |