We said: Famalicao 1-2 Braga
While form has not been great in 2024 for Braga, this is an excellent opportunity for them to return to winning ways, but defensive issues may mean it will be closer than they would prefer.
Famalicao took advantage to beat an underwhelming Casa Pia side last weekend and will almost certainly find it tougher here despite familiar surroundings, and may well suffer a narrow defeat.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Braga had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match.