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Europa League
Braga
Europa League | League Stage
Sep 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
2 - 1
M. Tel Aviv

Bruma (88', 90+5' pen.)
Ribeiro (68'), Sa (90+7'), Fernandez (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Davida (30' pen.)
Shlomo (17'), Kanichowsky (76'), Asante (90+5')
Kanichowsky (90+8'), Asante (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Braga and Maccabi Tel Aviv, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Nacional 0-3 Braga
Friday, September 20 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Maccabi Tel Aviv

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Ashdod 0-2 M. Tel Aviv
Sunday, September 22 at 6.15pm in Israeli Premier League

We said: Braga 3-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv

 Maccabi Tel Aviv certainly showed their ability in Europa League qualifying and will travel with momentum on the back of a perfect start to their latest domestic campaign, but a trip to Braga may be a step too far for the Yellows, and we expect the Portuguese outfit to come out on top on home turf thanks to the superior quality in their ranks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.62%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.03%) and 1-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
BragaDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
54.62% (1.636 1.64) 21.01% (-0.279 -0.28) 24.36% (-1.361 -1.36)
Both teams to score 64.86% (-0.518 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.78% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)33.22% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.02% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)54.98% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.67% (0.47 0.47)12.33% (-0.472 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.85% (0.975 0.98)38.14% (-0.978 -0.98)
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98% (-0.99600000000001 -1)26.02% (0.993 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.95% (-1.357 -1.36)61.05% (1.356 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Braga 54.63%
    Maccabi Tel Aviv 24.36%
    Draw 21.01%
BragaDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.03% (0.259 0.26)
1-0 @ 6.72% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.6% (0.177 0.18)
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.266 0.27)
3-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.45% (0.153 0.15)
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.182 0.18)
4-2 @ 2.33% (0.039 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.45% (0.089 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.094 0.09)
4-3 @ 1.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.97% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 9.04% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-0 @ 3.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.99% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.01%
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.232 -0.23)
0-1 @ 4.32% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.91% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 24.36%

How you voted: Braga vs M. Tel Aviv

Braga
84.8%
Draw
7.3%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
7.9%
165
rhs 2.0
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