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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Moreirense

Braga
3 - 1
Moreirense

Martinez (43'), Zalazar (56', 76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nlavo (53')
Marcelo (25'), Miguel Costa Santos (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Rapid Vienna
Thursday, August 22 at 8.30pm in Europa League

Moreirense

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 3-1 Arouca
Sunday, August 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-2 Moreirense

 Every Braga win under Carvalhal has been by a one-goal margin, but they could come unstuck against in-form Moreirense in the Minho derby. Despite the previous nine competitive matches going Braga's way, the away side's ongoing form should see them end that run this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 12.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawMoreirense
68.49% (0.45899999999999 0.46) 18.61% (-0.246 -0.25) 12.9% (-0.213 -0.21)
Both teams to score 50.46% (0.21700000000001 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.58% (0.612 0.61)41.41% (-0.612 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.18% (0.616 0.62)63.81% (-0.617 -0.62)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.95% (0.294 0.29)11.04% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.61% (0.642 0.64)35.38% (-0.64100000000001 -0.64)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.72% (0.058 0.06)43.27% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.48% (0.048000000000002 0.05)79.52% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Braga 68.49%
    Moreirense 12.9%
    Draw 18.61%
BragaDrawMoreirense
2-0 @ 11.6% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 10.53% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.52% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.14% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
4-0 @ 4.69% (0.095 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.93% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.034 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.07% (0.065 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.73% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 68.49%
1-1 @ 8.82% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.78% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 18.61%
0-1 @ 4% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-2 @ 3.7% (-0.045 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.68% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 12.9%

How you voted: Braga vs Moreirense

Braga
79.4%
Draw
14.7%
Moreirense
5.9%
34
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1pm
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vs.
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Feb 4, 2024 8.30pm
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1-0
Moreirense
Ruiz (8')
Oliveira (82')

Franco (34'), Ofori (36')
> Preview
Sep 9, 2023 6pm
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Moreirense
2-3
Braga
Luis (40'), Madson (45+1')
de Brito Gonzaga (16'), Ofori (65')
Lopes (27'), Banza (82'), Elmusrati (90+6')
Fonte (32'), Moutinho (55')
> Preview
Nov 10, 2022 7.45pm
Fourth Round
Braga
2-1
Moreirense
Horta (15'), Lainez (88')
Platiny (27')
Jan 30, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 20
Braga
2-0
Moreirense
Elmusrati (48'), Horta (72' pen.)
Tormena (23'), Horta (68'), Elmusrati (90+3')

Pacheco (35')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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