Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 12.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Moreirense |
68.49% (![]() | 18.61% (![]() | 12.9% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.46% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.58% (![]() | 41.41% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.18% (![]() | 63.81% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.95% (![]() | 11.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.61% (![]() | 35.38% (![]() |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.72% (![]() | 43.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.48% (![]() | 79.52% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Moreirense |
2-0 @ 11.6% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.53% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.72% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.52% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.14% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.69% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.65% ( ![]() Other @ 3.93% Total : 68.49% | 1-1 @ 8.82% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.78% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.07% ( ![]() Other @ 0.94% Total : 18.61% | 0-1 @ 4% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.7% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 1.35% Total : 12.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 12 |
2 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
7 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |