Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Braga3 - 1Moreirense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Rapid Vienna
Thursday, August 22 at 8.30pm in Europa League
Thursday, August 22 at 8.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Moreirense 3-1 Arouca
Sunday, August 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, August 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Braga 2-2 Moreirense
Every Braga win under Carvalhal has been by a one-goal margin, but they could come unstuck against in-form Moreirense in the Minho derby. Despite the previous nine competitive matches going Braga's way, the away side's ongoing form should see them end that run this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 12.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Moreirense |
68.49% ( 0.46) | 18.61% ( -0.25) | 12.9% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 50.46% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
