Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 19.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 0-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Brentford win it was 2-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.