Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 18.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-0 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.