Newcastle3 - 1Brentford
The Match
Match Report
Preview
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 61.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 18.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 1-0 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Brentford |
61.65% | 19.53% ( 0) | 18.82% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 61.74% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.43% ( -0) | 33.57% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.62% ( -0) | 55.38% ( 0) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.45% | 10.55% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.72% | 34.28% ( 0) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.03% ( -0) | 30.97% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.73% ( -0) | 67.27% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Brentford |
2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.26% 3-0 @ 6.2% 3-2 @ 4.26% 4-1 @ 4.08% 4-0 @ 3.48% 4-2 @ 2.39% 5-1 @ 1.84% 5-0 @ 1.57% 5-2 @ 1.08% 4-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.27% Total : 61.65% | 1-1 @ 8.61% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.68% 0-0 @ 3.27% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.31% Total : 19.53% | 1-2 @ 5.05% 0-1 @ 3.83% 0-2 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 18.82% |
How you voted: Newcastle vs Brentford
Lewis-Potter (45+3'), van den Berg (67'), Flekken (88')
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
8 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
10 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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