MX23RW : Monday, November 25 10:53:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Le Havre

Brest
2 - 0
Le Havre

Ajorque (12'), Salah (90+2')
Haidara (17'), Ndiaye (25'), Lees-Melou (79')
Haidara (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salzburg 0-4 Brest
Tuesday, October 1 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Le Havre 0-3 Lille
Saturday, September 28 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-0 Le Havre

Brest have looked relatively comfortable defensively at home in this competition, and though fatigue might play a factor for them on Sunday, we expect to see them grind out another victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 18.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawLe Havre
58.26% (0.1 0.1) 23.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 18.12% (-0.096 -0.1)
Both teams to score 46.76% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.27% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)52.72% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.64% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)74.36% (0.078999999999994 0.08)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13%17.86% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.37% (0.0020000000000024 0)48.62% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.93% (-0.171 -0.17)43.07% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.65% (-0.146 -0.15)79.35% (0.14 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Brest 58.24%
    Le Havre 18.12%
    Draw 23.62%
BrestDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 13.24% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 11.41% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.55% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.82% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 58.24%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.69% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 23.62%
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.7% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 18.12%

How you voted: Brest vs Le Havre

Brest
87.2%
Draw
12.8%
Le Havre
0.0%
39
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 24
Brest
1-0
Le Havre
Lees-Melou (34')
Del Castillo (52'), Martin (72'), Satriano (76'), Lees-Melou (83')

El Hajjam (55')
Aug 20, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 2
Le Havre
1-2
Brest
Kuzyaev (52')
Del Castillo (28'), Brassier (56')
Camara (47'), Camblan (89')
Feb 1, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 23
Le Havre
1-1
Brest
Bain (24')
Assifuah (17'), Bonnet (53')
Ferhat (39')
Charbonnier (48')
Belkebla (31'), Court (33')
Chardonnet (83')
Aug 28, 2018 7pm
Second Round
Le Havre
3-3
Brest
(Aggregate 3-3 | Le Havre win 6-5 on penalties)
Gory (20', 35'), Moussiti-Oko (49')
Chardonnet (66'), Autret (67'), Castelletto (69')
Henry (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille126421911822
5Nice1255223121120
6Lyon125431916319
7Auxerre126152119219
8Reims125342016418
9Lens124531312117
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg123452124-313
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Le HavreLe Havre124081023-1312
15Rennes123271319-611
16NantesNantes122461419-510
17Angers122461321-810
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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