Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.