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Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Villa Park
Brighton logo

Aston Villa
2 - 2
Brighton

Watkins (36' pen.), Rogers (47')
Rogers (38'), Mings (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Adingra (12'), Lamptey (81')
Hurzeler (37'), Ayari (45+7'), Balepa (72'), Julio (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion survive Aston Villa's barrage to come from behind and secure dramatic 2-2 draw at Villa Park in the Premier League on Monday night.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Monday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Aston Villa could line up for their clash at home to Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Monday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 3-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Brentford
Friday, December 27 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
41.88% (0.28 0.28) 23.43% (0.028000000000002 0.03) 34.68% (-0.311 -0.31)
Both teams to score 63.18% (-0.184 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.53% (-0.209 -0.21)38.47% (0.20500000000001 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.24% (-0.22 -0.22)60.76% (0.217 0.22)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22% (0.031000000000006 0.03)18.77% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.82% (0.057000000000002 0.06)50.17% (-0.061 -0.06)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78% (-0.262 -0.26)22.21% (0.257 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.36% (-0.394 -0.39)55.63% (0.39 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 41.88%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 34.68%
    Draw 23.43%
Aston VillaDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.038 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.98% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.83% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.25% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 41.88%
1-1 @ 10.49% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.17% (0.041 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.43%
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.27% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 34.68%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Brighton

Aston Villa
75.9%
Draw
16.5%
Brighton & Hove Albion
7.6%
237
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 36
Brighton
1-0
Aston Villa
Pedro (87')
Gross (49'), Adingra (63'), De Zerbi (90')

Cash (90+9')
Sep 30, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Aston Villa
6-1
Brighton
Watkins (14', 21', 65'), Estupinan (26' og.), Ramsey (85'), Luiz (90+7')
Luiz (7'), Digne (32'), Konsa (57'), Duran (90+5')
Fati (50')
Welbeck (39'), Fati (72'), Dunk (79'), Mitoma (84')
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 38
Aston Villa
2-1
Brighton
Luiz (8'), Watkins (26')
Cash (22'), Ramsey (24'), Mings (37'), McGinn (67')
Undav (38')
Undav (12'), Buonanotte (63'), Caicedo (73'), Gross (88')
Dec 8, 2022 1pm
Club Friendlies
Aston Villa
2-2
Brighton
Ings (67'), Raikhy (85')
Undav (75', 81')
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 16
Brighton
1-2
Aston Villa
Ings (20' pen., 54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


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