Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.