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Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Brighton logo

Arsenal
2 - 0
Brighton

Jesus (53'), Havertz (87')
White (38'), Arteta (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mitoma (43'), Gilmour (76'), Gross (89')

The Match

Match Report

Gabriel Jesus and Kai Havertz find the target as Arsenal rise back to the top of the Premier League table with a 2-0 win over Brighton & Hove Albion.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Brighton & Hove Albion.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 1-1 Arsenal
Tuesday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 67.46%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 15.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 3-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
67.46% (1.814 1.81) 17.44% (-0.365 -0.37) 15.09% (-1.451 -1.45)
Both teams to score 61.34% (-2.253 -2.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.56% (-1.259 -1.26)30.43% (1.257 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.28% (-1.522 -1.52)51.71% (1.521 1.52)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.66% (0.054999999999993 0.05)8.33% (-0.057 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.95% (0.136 0.14)29.05% (-0.138 -0.14)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.92% (-2.5 -2.5)33.07% (2.498 2.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.33% (-2.863 -2.86)69.67% (2.862 2.86)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 67.46%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 15.09%
    Draw 17.44%
ArsenalDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.081 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.51% (0.632 0.63)
3-1 @ 7.8% (0.088 0.09)
3-0 @ 7.05% (0.541 0.54)
1-0 @ 6.85% (0.492 0.49)
4-1 @ 4.84% (0.067 0.07)
4-0 @ 4.38% (0.347 0.35)
3-2 @ 4.31% (-0.254 -0.25)
4-2 @ 2.68% (-0.15 -0.15)
5-1 @ 2.41% (0.04 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.18% (0.178 0.18)
5-2 @ 1.33% (-0.071 -0.07)
6-1 @ 1% (0.019 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.99% (-0.13 -0.13)
6-0 @ 0.9% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 67.46%
1-1 @ 7.58% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.321 -0.32)
0-0 @ 2.76% (0.191 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.213 -0.21)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 17.44%
1-2 @ 4.19% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-1 @ 3.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-2 @ 1.69% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.217 -0.22)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 15.09%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Brighton

Arsenal
76.6%
Draw
10.6%
Brighton & Hove Albion
12.8%
141
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 36
Arsenal
0-3
Brighton
Enciso (51'), Undav (86'), Estupinan (90+6')
Dec 31, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Brighton
2-4
Arsenal
Mitoma (65'), Ferguson (77')
Saka (2'), Odegaard (39'), Nketiah (47'), Martinelli (71')
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Arsenal
1-3
Brighton
Nketiah (20')
Welbeck (27' pen.), Mitoma (58'), Lamptey (71')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Arsenal
1-2
Brighton
Odegaard (89')
Odegaard (39'), Saka (50'), Sambi Lokonga (82')
Trossard (29'), Mwepu (66')
Bissouma (35'), Gross (40'), Caicedo (52'), Sanchez (90+1')
Oct 2, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Brighton
0-0
Arsenal
Maupay (74'), Veltman (82')
Partey (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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