Ligue 2 | Gameweek 12
Nov 2, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Caen2 - 0Bastia
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Bastia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Martigues 0-3 Caen
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.30pm in Ligue 2
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.30pm in Ligue 2
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: Bastia 2-2 Rodez AF
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.30pm in Ligue 2
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.30pm in Ligue 2
Goals
for
for
11
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 26.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
Result | ||
Caen | Draw | Bastia |
46.64% ( -0.51) | 27.25% ( 0.2) | 26.11% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 46.29% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.6% ( -0.52) | 58.4% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21% ( -0.41) | 79% ( 0.4) |
Caen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.95% ( -0.48) | 25.05% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.27% ( -0.66) | 59.73% ( 0.66) |
Bastia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.77% ( -0.02) | 38.23% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.01% ( -0.02) | 74.99% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Caen 46.63%
Bastia 26.11%
Draw 27.24%
Caen | Draw | Bastia |
1-0 @ 13.25% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.25% Total : 46.63% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.6% Total : 26.11% |
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Bastia
1-2
Caen
Feb 3, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2022 8pm
Feb 26, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 26
Caen
2-1
Bastia
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-30 15:18:39
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Lorient | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 40 |
2 | Metz | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 37 |
3 | Paris FCParis FC | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 37 |
4 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 36 |
5 | GuingampGuingamp | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 35 |
6 | Laval | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 33 |
7 | Annecy | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 33 |
8 | PauPau | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Grenoble | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 27 |
10 | Bastia | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 26 |
11 | AmiensAmiens | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 26 |
12 | Clermont | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 24 |
13 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 23 |
14 | Red Star | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 22 |
15 | Troyes | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 21 |
16 | Ajaccio | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 21 |
17 | Caen | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 15 |
18 | Martigues | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 15 |
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