Ligue 2 | Gameweek 10
Oct 26, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Caen0 - 1Troyes
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Troyes.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Red Star 2-2 Caen
Friday, October 18 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Friday, October 18 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Troyes |
43.92% ( 0.14) | 27.18% ( 0.07) | 28.9% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 48.31% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.28% ( -0.35) | 56.71% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.33% ( -0.28) | 77.67% ( 0.28) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% ( -0.09) | 25.65% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.45% ( -0.12) | 60.54% ( 0.12) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.97% ( -0.35) | 35.02% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.23% ( -0.36) | 71.77% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
Caen 43.92%
Troyes 28.9%
Draw 27.17%
| Caen | Draw | Troyes |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 43.92% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.12% Total : 28.9% |
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 6pm
Nov 4, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 13
Troyes
2-1
Caen
Apr 17, 2021 2pm
Dec 12, 2020 2pm
Feb 14, 2020 7pm
