Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Lorient.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guingamp 3-1 Caen
Monday, September 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Monday, September 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Lorient 3-0 Ajaccio
Friday, September 27 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Friday, September 27 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Lorient |
41.91% ( 0.28) | 26.55% ( -0) | 31.54% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 51.4% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
