Ligue 2 | Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Metz1 - 1Lorient
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Metz and Lorient.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Lorient |
37.58% ( -0.6) | 27.12% ( 0.28) | 35.3% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 50.5% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.13% ( -1.08) | 54.87% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.84% ( -0.9) | 76.16% ( 0.9) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% ( -0.86) | 28.24% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.05% ( -1.1) | 63.95% ( 1.1) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% ( -0.33) | 29.62% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.34% ( -0.4) | 65.66% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
Metz 37.58%
Lorient 35.29%
Draw 27.11%
| Metz | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.76% Total : 37.58% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.29% |
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 20
Metz
1-2
Lorient
Nov 26, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 13
Lorient
2-3
Metz
