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Champions League header

Champions League
Club Brugge
Champions League | League Stage
Sep 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion
Dortmund logo

Brugge
0 - 3
Dortmund


Vetlesen (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bynoe-Gittens (76', 86'), Guirassy (90+5' pen.)
Ryerson (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Club Brugge and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Brugge

All competitions
Last Game: Kortrijk 0-3 Brugge
Saturday, September 14 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 Heidenheim
Friday, September 13 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Club Brugge 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

 Borussia Dortmund kept the most clean sheets in last season's Champions League (six), but Club Brugge have scored freely this term and have a potent front line with which to test their visitors. The hosts should score, though Dortmund may still leave Belgium with maximum points, having looked pretty solid since Nuri Sahin took over. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.35%) and 1-3 (5.21%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Club BruggeDrawBorussia Dortmund
35.51% (-2.565 -2.57) 22.03% (0.4 0.4) 42.46% (2.162 2.16)
Both teams to score 68.84% (-2.037 -2.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.81% (-2.466 -2.47)31.19% (2.465 2.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.39% (-2.974 -2.97)52.61% (2.973 2.97)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53% (-2.216 -2.22)18.47% (2.214 2.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.34% (-3.88 -3.88)49.66% (3.879 3.88)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.43% (-0.19800000000001 -0.2)15.57% (0.196 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.47% (-0.367 -0.37)44.53% (0.364 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Club Brugge 35.51%
    Borussia Dortmund 42.46%
    Draw 22.03%
Club BruggeDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.63% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-0 @ 4.86% (0.317 0.32)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.381 -0.38)
2-0 @ 4.1% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.384 -0.38)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.188 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.311 -0.31)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.302 -0.3)
4-3 @ 1.05% (-0.196 -0.2)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.16 -0.16)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 35.51%
1-1 @ 9.03% (0.532 0.53)
2-2 @ 7.1% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-0 @ 2.88% (0.376 0.38)
3-3 @ 2.48% (-0.256 -0.26)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.03%
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.441 0.44)
0-1 @ 5.35% (0.668 0.67)
1-3 @ 5.21% (0.24 0.24)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.593 0.59)
2-3 @ 4.4% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.349 0.35)
1-4 @ 2.42% (0.096 0.1)
2-4 @ 2.05% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.154 0.15)
3-4 @ 1.15% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-5 @ 0.9% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 42.46%

How you voted: Brugge vs Dortmund

Club Brugge
10.4%
Draw
11.7%
Borussia Dortmund
77.9%
384
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2020 8pm
Group Stage
Dortmund
3-0
Brugge
Braut Haaland (18', 60'), Sancho (45')

Rits (71')
> Preview
Nov 4, 2020 8pm
Group Stage
Brugge
0-3
Dortmund
Hazard (14'), Braut Haaland (18', 32')
> Preview
Nov 28, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Dortmund
0-0
Brugge
Alcacer (45')
Denswil (14')
Sep 18, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Brugge
0-1
Dortmund
Pulisic (85')
Weigl (19'), Kagawa (90')
rhs 2.0
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