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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.58%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
46.29% ( -0.36) | 22.51% ( 0.13) | 31.19% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 65.22% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.78% ( -0.52) | 35.21% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.77% ( -0.58) | 57.23% ( 0.58) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.26% ( -0.33) | 15.73% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.16% ( -0.61) | 44.83% ( 0.6) |
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.4% ( -0.12) | 22.59% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.79% ( -0.18) | 56.2% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 3% Total : 46.29% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.51% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 31.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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