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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Oxford United |
41.31% ( 0.06) | 24.24% ( -0.02) | 34.45% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 60.14% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.59% ( 0.06) | 42.41% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.18% ( 0.06) | 64.82% ( -0.06) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.32% ( 0.06) | 20.68% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.73% ( 0.09) | 53.27% ( -0.09) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.82% ( 0) | 24.18% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.5% ( 0) | 58.5% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Oxford United |
2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 41.31% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Burnley | 30 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 58 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 45 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 44 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Bristol City | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 42 |
11 | Coventry CityCoventry | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 41 |
12 | Watford | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Millwall | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 38 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 37 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 34 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 32 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 31 |
20 | Portsmouth | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Hull City | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 27 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 25 |
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