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FA Cup
Coventry City
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Oxford United

Coventry
6 - 2
Oxford Utd

Latibeaudiere (8'), Sheaf (11'), Palmer (17'), O'Hare (50' pen.), Godden (84', 88')
Sheaf (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Harris (10'), Goodrham (79')
Brannagan (15'), Rodrigues (30'), McEachran (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Coventry City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

All competitions
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-3 Coventry
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Oxford United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Oxford Utd
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Coventry City 3-1 Oxford United

 Oxford are more than capable of making it three wins in this season's competition against a Coventry side that are unlikely to be at full-strength. The hosts are in strong form at the moment, though, and we are backing them to secure their spot in the fourth round of the FA Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawOxford United
46.1% (0.011999999999993 0.01) 24.42%29.48% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)45.18% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)67.53% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)19.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)51.73% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)28.63% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.57% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)64.43% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 46.1%
    Oxford United 29.48%
    Draw 24.42%
Coventry CityDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.15%
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 46.1%
1-1 @ 11.46%
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 29.48%

How you voted: Coventry vs Oxford Utd

Coventry City
72.4%
Draw
13.8%
Oxford United
13.8%
29
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Oxford Utd
0-2
Coventry
Panzo (30', 59')
Apr 13, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 43
Coventry
P-P
Oxford Utd
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Oxford Utd
3-3
Coventry
Mackie (64'), Dabo (85' og.), Moore (94')
Dickie (41'), Forde (62'), Ruffels (67'), Mackie (96')
Westbrooke (35'), Godden (56'), O'Hare (91')
Shipley (29'), Westbrooke (74')
Mar 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Coventry
0-1
Oxford Utd

Hiwula-Mayifuila (41')
Nelson (57')
Browne (45'), Graham (45'), Garbutt (75')
Sep 9, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 7
Oxford Utd
1-2
Coventry
Obika (86')
Holmes (45')
Mousinho (64' og.), Chaplin (81' pen.)
Shipley (12'), Brown (13'), Clarke-Harris (87')
rhs 2.0
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