Coventry6 - 2Oxford Utd
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
We said: Coventry City 3-1 Oxford United
Oxford are more than capable of making it three wins in this season's competition against a Coventry side that are unlikely to be at full-strength. The hosts are in strong form at the moment, though, and we are backing them to secure their spot in the fourth round of the FA Cup. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Oxford United |
46.1% ( 0.01) | 24.42% | 29.48% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.31% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.82% ( -0) | 45.18% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.47% ( -0) | 67.53% ( 0) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% ( 0.01) | 19.72% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.27% ( 0.01) | 51.73% ( -0.01) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( -0.01) | 28.63% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.57% ( -0.01) | 64.43% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Oxford United |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.02% Total : 46.1% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 29.48% |
