EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Oxford Utd2 - 0Peterborough
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Norwich
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Peterborough 0-2 Huddersfield
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
We said: Oxford United 2-1 Peterborough United
Oxford won both of their home games against Peterborough last season, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage again to record a narrow win and seal their place in the second round of the EFL Cup. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Peterborough United |
31.99% ( -0) | 24.79% | 43.21% |
| Both teams to score 57.36% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
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