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League One | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Stockport County

Crawley
1 - 1
Stockport

Quitirna (68' pen.)
Anderson (14'), Lindsey (15'), Williams (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barry (6')
Onyango (40'), Norwood (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 0-3 Barnsley
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-4 Stockport
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Stockport County

While Crawley have avoided defeat in their last two matches against this opponent at this venue, their attack did look blunt leading up to the international break, which does not bode well for their chances against a Stockport side that have only conceded one goal this term. The time off may have given the hosts a chance to reset, but we feel the Hatters will still come away with the points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawStockport County
28.12% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 21.65% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 50.23% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 66.33% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.11% (0.075000000000003 0.08)32.88% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.41% (0.086999999999996 0.09)54.59% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72% (0.027000000000001 0.03)23.28% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79% (0.039999999999999 0.04)57.2% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.45% (0.039999999999992 0.04)13.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.38% (0.073999999999998 0.07)40.62% (-0.073 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 28.12%
    Stockport County 50.23%
    Draw 21.65%
Crawley TownDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 6.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.59% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.63% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 28.12%
1-1 @ 9.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.65%
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.46% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-4 @ 3.06% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-4 @ 1.08% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 50.23%

How you voted: Crawley vs Stockport

Crawley Town
22.2%
Draw
16.7%
Stockport County
61.1%
18
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Crawley
1-1
Stockport
Lolas (83')
Lindsey (21'), Orsi (54')
Sarcevic (61')
Pye (20')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Stockport
3-3
Crawley
Barry (13'), Sarcevic (36'), Olaofe (89')
Powell (56')
Campbell (42'), Maguire (54'), Orsi (66')
Gladwin (38'), Orsi (56'), Lolas (71'), Henry (85'), Williams (90+1')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Stockport
2-1
Crawley
Wootton (12', 51')
Powell (9')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Crawley
3-2
Stockport
Tilley (5'), Telford (35'), Tsaroulla (56')
Crankshaw (17'), Hussey (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham20153237162148
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe21145246222447
3Wrexham22136333151845
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield21133535181742
5Stockport CountyStockport22106634231136
6Reading2110473431334
7Barnsley229673131033
8Mansfield TownMansfield209472622431
9Lincoln CityLincoln228772826231
10Bolton WanderersBolton209472931-231
11Charlton AthleticCharlton218672520530
12Exeter CityExeter219392223-130
13Leyton Orient218492620628
14Wigan AthleticWigan217682018227
15Blackpool217683033-327
16Stevenage207581520-526
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2173113840-224
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham206591922-323
19Bristol Rovers2164111932-1322
20Northampton TownNorthampton2256112238-1621
21Crawley TownCrawley2154122036-1619
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2145122137-1617
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2143142241-1915
24Burton Albion2126131734-1712


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