MX23RW : Sunday, September 15 09:43:48| >> :600:583001:583001:
Accrington Stanley
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
Stockport County

Accrington
1 - 4
Stockport

Hunter (7')
Woods (32'), Woods (53')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Stretton (33', 35'), Camps (82'), Barry (90+1')
Powell (23'), Norwood (41'), Horsfall (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Accrington Stanley and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

Stockport County

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Stockport
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-2 Stockport County

 Stockport's midfield has a bit of a decimated feel to it right now, but they have taken League One by storm and were scoring for fun in their two games versus Accrington last year. With the hosts still lacking that winning formula, Tuesday's game might be a foregone conclusion from the first whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawStockport County
30.48% (0.389 0.39) 24.33% (0.104 0.1) 45.19% (-0.495 -0.5)
Both teams to score 58.22% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.76% (-0.278 -0.28)44.24% (0.277 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.38% (-0.27 -0.27)66.62% (0.27 0.27)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (0.12 0.12)27.48% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03% (0.155 0.16)62.97% (-0.155 -0.16)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.28% (-0.31999999999999 -0.32)19.72% (0.32 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27% (-0.524 -0.52)51.73% (0.523 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 30.48%
    Stockport County 45.19%
    Draw 24.32%
Accrington StanleyDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 7.34% (0.064 0.06)
1-0 @ 7% (0.107 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.52% (0.084 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.16% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.95% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.48%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.42% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.32%
1-2 @ 9.23% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.14% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.99% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.87% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.045 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 45.19%

How you voted: Accrington vs Stockport

Accrington Stanley
15.0%
Draw
7.5%
Stockport County
77.5%
40
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Stockport
4-2
Accrington
Wootton (9', 62'), Lemonheigh-Evans (43'), Sarcevic (79')
Knoyle (27'), Barry (44')
Whalley (17'), Nolan (77')
Conneely (56'), Hills (80'), Shipley (87')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Accrington
1-3
Stockport
Nolan (87')
Pritchard (61')
Olaofe (12'), Collar (16'), Barry (59' pen.)
Bailey (43')
Mar 8, 2011 3pm
Accrington
3-0
Stockport
Hessey (28'), Edwards (35' pen., 42' pen.)

Brown (42'), McLoughlin (80')
Sep 28, 2010 3pm
Stockport
2-2
Accrington
Donnelly (84'), Fisher (78')
Williams (61'), Proctor (64')
Procter (40'), Gornell (76')
Barnett (45'), Gornell (65')
Feb 23, 2008 3pm
Accrington
0-2
Stockport

Whalley (16'), Thomas (57')
Dickinson (33', 63')
Logan (90')
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