Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.