We said: Curzon Ashton 1-3 Mansfield Town
Given the calibre of opposition, it is difficult to see how Curzon can progress into the next round of the FA Cup.
Additionally, Mansfield have been one of League One's strongest sides this season, and it would not be surprising if they emerged victorious on Sunday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.27%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.