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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Stevenage |
43.26% ( 0.65) | 25.28% ( -0.3) | 31.45% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 55.47% ( 0.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.94% ( 1.18) | 48.05% ( -1.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.78% ( 1.07) | 70.22% ( -1.07) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.83% ( 0.82) | 22.16% ( -0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.43% ( 1.22) | 55.56% ( -1.22) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.26% ( 0.36) | 28.73% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.43% ( 0.44) | 64.56% ( -0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.26% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |