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Mansfield Town
League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Stevenage

Mansfield
0 - 1
Stevenage


Cargill (24'), Reed (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Young (32')
Wildin (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Mansfield Town and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Blackpool
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Stevenage
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Mansfield Town 1-0 Stevenage

Stevenage are tough to break down, and it would not be a surprise to see a goalless draw on Saturday afternoon. Mansfield are on a roll at the moment, though, and we fancy them to navigate their way to a narrow victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawStevenage
43.26% (0.65000000000001 0.65) 25.28% (-0.301 -0.3) 31.45% (-0.347 -0.35)
Both teams to score 55.47% (0.856 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.94% (1.177 1.18)48.05% (-1.177 -1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.78% (1.07 1.07)70.22% (-1.07 -1.07)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (0.81700000000001 0.82)22.16% (-0.817 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.43% (1.215 1.22)55.56% (-1.215 -1.22)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (0.355 0.36)28.73% (-0.356 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (0.441 0.44)64.56% (-0.441 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 43.26%
    Stevenage 31.45%
    Draw 25.27%
Mansfield TownDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.153 0.15)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.122 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.097 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 43.26%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.316 -0.32)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.94% (-0.312 -0.31)
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.95% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.068 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.45%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Stevenage

Mansfield Town
80.8%
Draw
11.5%
Stevenage
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Mansfield
2-0
Stevenage
Lapslie (51'), Longstaff (90+3')
Perch (15'), Maris (21')

Taylor (43'), Andrade (87')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Stevenage
1-2
Mansfield
Cuthbert (55')
Vancooten (85'), Norris (90+1')
O'Toole (19'), Stirk (65')
Hawkins (12'), Stirk (90+4'), O'Toole (90+7')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Stevenage
0-1
Mansfield

Vancooten (21')
Sweeney (24')
Lapslie (14'), Maris (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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