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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Birmingham City |
31.33% ( -0.28) | 23.67% ( -0.04) | 45% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 61.01% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.22% ( 0.06) | 40.78% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.83% ( 0.06) | 63.16% ( -0.06) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.77% ( -0.14) | 25.23% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.02% ( -0.19) | 59.97% ( 0.2) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.59% ( 0.16) | 18.41% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.44% ( 0.27) | 49.56% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Birmingham City |
2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.33% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.57% Total : 45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 49 |
2 | Wrexham | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 48 |
3 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 47 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 43 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
6 | Reading | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 37 |
7 | Barnsley | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 36 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 34 |
9 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 33 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 31 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 31 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 29 |
15 | Blackpool | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 27 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 24 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 24 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 22 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 22 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 20 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 17 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Burton Albion | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 13 |
> League One Full Table |