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Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
0 - 1
Union SG

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fenerbahce and Union SG, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union SG 1-1 Gent
Sunday, March 10 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Fenerbahce 1-2 Union SG (Fenerbahce to win 4-2 on aggregate)

With Union SG needing to throw caution to the wind to get back into this contest, we expect the visitors to get on the scoresheet in Turkey. Nevertheless, Fenerbahce have the experience to negotiate this game, even if it ends up in a narrow defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Union SG had a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Union SG win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawUnion SG
58.82% (0.0019999999999953 0) 21.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 19.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 55.04% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.13% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)42.87% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)65.27% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.75% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)14.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)42.01% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.19% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)35.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.41% (-0.004999999999999 -0)72.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 58.83%
    Union SG 19.46%
    Draw 21.71%
FenerbahceDrawUnion SG
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.46%
3-0 @ 6.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3.15%
4-0 @ 3.07%
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-1 @ 1.23%
5-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 58.83%
1-1 @ 10.21%
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.24%
0-2 @ 2.69%
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 19.46%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Union SG

Fenerbahce
62.9%
Draw
19.6%
Union SG
17.5%
97
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2024 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Union SG
0-3
Fenerbahce

Blessin (43'), El Amine Amoura (45'), Machida (54'), Burgess (90+3')
Batshuayi (20'), Oosterwolde (84'), Tadic (90+4' pen.)
Krunic (81')
rhs 2.0
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