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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena

Frankfurt
1 - 2
Union SG

Ebimbe (87')
Buta (20'), Toppmoller (21'), Trapp (76'), Chandler (82'), Ebimbe (89'), Toppmoller (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Puertas (47'), Eckert (80')
El Amine Amoura (76'), Machida (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Union SG, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Freiburg 3-3 Frankfurt
Sunday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Union SG

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Kortrijk 1-3 Union SG
Sunday, February 18 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 Union SG

 Frankfurt looked certain to progress within just 10 minutes of the first leg, but a spirited fightback has kept the tie alive, and shows that Toppmoller's side cannot underestimate the visitors despite their limited European experience. It was German opposition who dumped Union SG out of Europe last season though, as Bayer Leverkusen got the better of the Belgians, and a repeat is likely here, despite their strong domestic form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawUnion SG
42.71% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 24.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 32.59% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.91% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92% (0.030000000000001 0.03)45.08% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.57% (0.030999999999999 0.03)67.43% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (0.013000000000005 0.01)21.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97% (0.018999999999998 0.02)54.03% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.46% (0.021000000000001 0.02)26.54% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.25% (0.026000000000003 0.03)61.75% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 42.71%
    Union SG 32.59%
    Draw 24.7%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawUnion SG
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.77% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 42.71%
1-1 @ 11.57%
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 7.45% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 32.59%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Union SG

Eintracht Frankfurt
69.9%
Draw
20.5%
Union SG
9.6%
83
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2024 5.45pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 1st Leg
Union SG
2-2
Frankfurt
Rasmussen (31'), Nilsson (68')
Burgess (26'), Vanhoutte (35'), Lindner (90+5')
Vanhoutte (78')
Chaibi (3'), Kalajdzic (10')
Tuta (4'), Buta (82'), Chaibi (85')
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